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Thursday, January 30, 2020

Clippers vs. Kings odds, line: 2020 NBA picks, Jan. 30 predictions from proven model on 33-16 run - CBS Sports

Kawhi Leonard and the Los Angeles Clippers (33-14) will host De'Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (17-30) on Thursday. Paul George (hamstring) has missed the last nine games for the Clippers, but is expected to make his return on Thursday. Joining George as probable on the injury report is Patrick Beverley (groin), who missed L.A.'s last three games. On the Sacramento side, Marvin Bagley (foot) has been ruled out for what will be his fifth consecutive absence.

Tip-off for this one is set for 10:30 p.m ET from the Staples Center. Sportsbooks list Los Angeles as a 13.5-point road favorites, while the over-under for total points is 227.5 in the latest Kings vs. Clippers odds. Before making any Clippers vs. Kings picks or NBA predictions, you'll want to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and last season it returned a whopping $4,280 on its top-rated NBA spread and money line picks. It's already returned almost $3,000 in profit on all top-rated NBA picks during the 2019-20 season and entered Week 15 on a blistering 33-16 run on all top-rated NBA spread picks. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Clippers vs. Kings. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Kings vs. Clippers:

Clippers vs. Kings spread: Clippers -13.5
Clippers vs. Kings over-under: 228 points
Clippers vs. Kings money line: Los Angeles -1300, Sacramento +800
SAC: The Kings have the NBA's fifth-best road record ATS on the season.
LAC: The Clippers are just 3-8 ATS in their most recent games at the Staples Center.

Why the Clippers can cover

The model is well aware that this game is the back end of a back-to-back and the third game in four nights for the Kings. They are coming off of a 20-point blowout loss to the Thunder on Wednesday, while the Clippers have had four days to rest before this game.

Not that the Clippers need much help to quickly dispose of this Kings team. Sacramento holds the third-worst record in the West after an injury-marred season, and ranks just 25th in the NBA in point differential. The Kings lost to the Clippers by 18 in Sacramento just a month ago, and now the Clippers have a fully-healthy roster.

Just because Los Angeles is the far superior team on paper, doesn't mean it will cover the Clippers vs. Kings spread on Thursday, however.

Why the Kings can cover

The model is also well aware that Sacramento has fared quite well when traveling this season. Their 60 percent cover rate against-the-spread when playing as the road team is the fifth-best mark in the NBA, and it is up to 67 percent when playing as a road underdog. The young Kings haven't been bothered by short rest either, covering the spread in four of six games played on zero days' rest.

Sacramento has not only covered, but won its two most recent games as road underdogs. Of their eight losses in 2020, four have been by fewer than 13 points, so there's hope that they can keep this one close enough to cover the massive spread. In two previous games played as a 10-13-point underdog, Sacramento covered the spread both times.

How to make Clippers vs. Kings picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total. In fact, the model is projecting Buddy Hield to again outproduce his scoring average while filling his new high-usage role off the bench and is expecting a monster performance Leonard. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60 percent of simulations.

So who wins Kings vs. Clippers? And which side of the spread cashes nearly 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Clippers vs. Kings spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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Clippers vs. Kings odds, line: 2020 NBA picks, Jan. 30 predictions from proven model on 33-16 run - CBS Sports
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Celtics vs. Warriors odds, line: 2020 NBA picks, Jan. 30 predictions from computer simulation on 33-16 run - CBS Sports

The Golden State Warriors (10-38) face a tall task on Thursday evening in a road matchup against the Boston Celtics (31-15). The Warriors have lost 14 of 15 games heading into this matchup, though the Celtics will be short-handed without Enes Kanter (hip) available. Jayson Tatum's injury status is also worth tracking, as the talented forward is listed as questionable with a groin issue.

Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET at TD Garden. Sportsbooks list the Celtics as 12.5-point home favorites, up slightly from the opener, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 222 in the latest Warriors vs. Celtics odds. Before making any Celtics vs. Warriors picks or NBA predictions, see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Warriors. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Warriors vs. Celtics:

Celtics vs. Warriors spread: Celtics -12.5
Celtics vs. Warriors over-under: 222 points
Celtics vs. Warriors money line: Celtics -1162, Warriors +693
GSW: The Warriors are 4-2 against the spread in the last six games
BOS: The Celtics are 27-17-2 against the spread this season

Why the Warriors can cover

The model has considered that the Warriors have a mismatched roster and recent struggles are partially indicative of a talent gap between Golden State and their opponents. Still, Steve Kerr's team does have a legitimate No. 1 option in D'Angelo Russell. The All-Star guard is averaging 24.0 points and 6.3 assists per game and, when Russell plays, the Warriors are better than their overall profile indicates.

The Warriors also rank in the top eight of the NBA in creating turnovers defensively and, if they can create havoc and turn it into fast- break chances, that could benefit the visitors. The Celtics also struggle on the defensive glass and, while that isn't a defined strength of the Warriors, Golden State should have the ability to generate second-chance points.

Why the Celtics can cover

Even with the double-digit line, Golden State isn't a lock to cover the Celtics vs. Warriors spread. The model also has factored in that Boston has an overall roster advantage, even if Tatum is unable to play. The Celtics rank as a top-five team in the NBA on both ends of the floor, matching up quite favorably against the Warriors on offense and defense.

Boston has a top-five defensive turnover rate, and that could speed Golden State up offensively in a way that makes the visitors uncomfortable. On the other end, the Celtics are strong in creating offensive rebounds, with the Warriors landing as a below-average unit in protecting the defensive glass this season.

How to make Warriors vs. Celtics picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with Russell falling short in this projections when compared to his season-long scoring average. That is also true on the Celtics side, with Marcus Smart's projection coming in below his season average. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations.

So who wins Warriors vs. Celtics and which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Celtics vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.