With a loss last week, the Chicago Bears are eliminated from the NFL playoff picture, but Matt Nagy's team will have the opportunity to play spoiler against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football. The Chiefs have clinched the AFC West title, but with the chance to pursue a first-round bye, Patrick Mahomes and company have plenty of incentive to put forth a top-tier effort in a nationally-televised spot. Kick-off is at 8:20 p.m. ET at Soldier Field.
Sportsbooks list the Chiefs as six-point road favorites, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 44.5 in the latest Chiefs vs. Bears odds. Before you make any Bears vs. Chiefs picks and Sunday Night Football predictions, see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 16 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 33-22 run that dates back to last season. It's also on an incredible 95-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Bears. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can head to SportsLine to see it. Now, here are several NFL odds for Chiefs vs. Bears.
- Chiefs vs. Bears spread: Chiefs -6
- Chiefs vs. Bears over-under: 44.5 points
- Chiefs vs. Bears money line: Chiefs -203, Bears +180
- KC: Four straight victories after losing four of six games
- CHI: Three-game winning streak snapped in Week 15 against Green Bay
The model knows that after 14 games, Chicago ranks as the No. 8 total defense in the NFL from a yardage perspective and, from a scoring standpoint, the Bears allow only 18.1 points per game. That scoring defense figure is No. 3 in the NFL and they'll need that resistance on Sunday Night Football.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Bears have the chance to establish an effective ground attack against a below-average run defense from Kansas City. Running back David Montgomery has rushed for 719 yards and five touchdowns as Chicago's lead back this season. Quarterback Mitchell Trubisky is also a capable play-maker using his legs and, against a defense that has vulnerabilities, that scrambling ability could be vital.
Just because the Bears have a stout defense doesn't mean Chicago will cover the Chiefs vs. Bears spread on Sunday Night Football.
Andy Reid's Chiefs have won four consecutive games on the way to the division title, including a highly impressive road win over the New England Patriots. The Chiefs have done much of their recent work behind an improved and strengthening defense, allowing 17 points or fewer in all four victories. Kansas City is vulnerable when it comes to run defense, but throughout the season, the Chiefs have been able to mitigate that weakness by taking early leads and forcing opponents to throw against them.
So who wins Bears vs. Chiefs on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in more than 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Bears vs. Chiefs spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NFL picks, and find out.
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December 21, 2019 at 10:10AM
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Chiefs vs. Bears odds, line: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from model on 95-65 roll - CBS Sports
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