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Friday, October 25, 2019

Eagles vs. Bills odds, line, spread: NFL picks, Week 8 predictions from model on 86-60 roll - CBS Sports

Teams looking to keep pace in their respective divisions meet when the Buffalo Bills battle the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday. The Bills (5-1), second in the AFC East and 1.5 games behind the New England Patriots, are 2-1 at home, while the Eagles (3-4) are 1-3 on the road this year. Kickoff from New Era Field in Orchard Park is set for 1 p.m. ET. Buffalo has won two in a row, while Philadelphia has lost two straight. Buffalo is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Eagles vs. Bills odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 43.5. Before making any Bills vs. Eagles picks of your own, see the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 8 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 24-17 run that dates back to last season. It's also on an incredible 86-60 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. And in Week 7, it nailed the Chiefs (-3) covering with plenty of room to spare against the Broncos and the Ravens (+3) staying within the spread against the Seahawks in a game Baltimore won outright by 14. 

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third year in a row on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has simulated Eagles vs. Bills 10,000 times. We can tell you it is leaning under, and it has a strong against the spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. That one is only available at SportsLine. 

The model knows the Bills, who are allowing just 15.2 points per game, have been winning with defense. Buffalo is fourth in the NFL in passing yards allowed (201.3 average) and third in total defense (292.7).

Buffalo is led by defensive tackle Jordan Phillips, who leads the team with four sacks, one forced fumble and 12 tackles, including 11 solo. Also making a difference is linebacker Tremaine Edmunds, who has 43 tackles, five tackles for loss and five passes defensed. Safety Jordan Poyer is second in tackles with 42, including 31 solo, one sack, one interception, one forced fumble and one fumble recovery. 

But just because the Bills have been dominant on defense, does not guarantee they will cover the Eagles vs. Bills spread on Sunday. 

That's because Philadelphia is capable of playing well and already has one upset win on the road this season, defeating Green Bay 34-27 in Week 4 at Lambeau Field. Offensively, the Eagles are led by quarterback Carson Wentz, who has completed 147-of-240 passes for 1,649 yards and 13 touchdowns. His favorite target has been tight end Zach Ertz, who has 35 receptions for 404 yards and one touchdown.

Ertz's best games have been on the road. He had eight catches for 72 yards at Atlanta in Week 2, and seven receptions for 65 yards at Green Bay.

So who wins Bills vs. Eagles? And which side of the spread can you bank on in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bills vs. Eagles spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks.

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October 25, 2019 at 07:32AM
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Eagles vs. Bills odds, line, spread: NFL picks, Week 8 predictions from model on 86-60 roll - CBS Sports
"line" - Google News
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