The Denver Nuggets will try to keep their undefeated season alive on Tuesday when they host the Dallas Mavericks at the Pepsi Center. Nikola Jokic leads the 3-0 Nuggets on the second night of a back-to-back, while Luka Doncic, Kristaps Porzingis and the Mavericks arrive after a narrow loss on Sunday. Dwight Powell (hamstring) is questionable to play for Dallas, while Denver enters this game at full strength. Tip-off is at 9 pm ET. Sportsbooks list Denver as a six-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 215.5 in the latest Nuggets vs. Mavericks odds. Before you make any Mavericks vs. Nuggets picks and NBA predictions for Tuesday and beyond, you need to check out what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and anyone who followed it last season saw massive returns. The model finished 300-252 on all its top-rated picks. On top-rated against-the-spread and money line NBA picks alone, the model returned a whopping $4,280.
Now, it has locked in on Mavs vs. Nuggets. We can tell you it's leaning over, and it also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
The model knows the Mavericks' rest advantage could be critical, particularly in a hostile environment in Denver. Doncic is off to a blazing start, averaging 29.3 points, 10.3 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game, and the second-year standout is establishing himself as one of the game's best offensive engines. He is flanked by a healthy Porzingis and, while it is still early in the campaign, the former Knicks star is averaging 26.3 points and looks to be at full strength. Dallas sports a top-five offense in the NBA to this point, scoring more than 1.1 points per possession, which matches up well against a Nuggets defense that is capable of being stingy.
But that doesn't mean Dallas will cover the Nuggets vs. Mavericks spread on Tuesday.
That's because the Nuggets are effective when playing at home. Denver posted a blazing 34-7 record at the Pepsi Center last season and, with an edge in depth, the friendly environment could work even more in favor of the Nuggets. Mike Malone's team deploys a balanced offensive attack, with six players currently averaging double-figures in scoring. With a talented roster and overall health at this early stage, the Nuggets should expect their offense to click against a Mavericks defense that ranks in the bottom half of the league in points allowed per possession.
So who wins Mavericks vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Mavericks vs. Nuggets spread you need to jump on Tuesday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
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October 29, 2019 at 07:22AM
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Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds, line, spread: 2019 NBA picks, Oct. 29 predictions from advanced computer model - CBS Sports
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