The Redskins hope a familiar setting will spur quarterback Case Keenum to return to his early-season form and help Washington pull the upset when it visits the Minnesota Vikings for Thursday Night Football. Keenum did his best work at U.S. Bank Stadium in 2017 when he went 11-3 as a starter and led the Vikings to the NFC Championship Game. He threw for more than 200 yards and had two touchdown passes in his first two games this season, but has tailed off in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Kirk Cousins has been shredding defenses the past three weeks, all Vikings victories. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET at U.S. Bank Stadium. Minnesota is a 16-point favorite in the latest Vikings vs. Redskins odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 42, up 1.5 from the opener. Before you make any Redskins vs. Vikings picks, you need to read the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 8 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 24-17 run that dates back to last season. It's also on an incredible 86-60 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. And in Week 7, it nailed the Chiefs (-3) covering with plenty of room to spare against the Broncos and the Ravens (+3) staying within the spread against the Seahawks in a game Baltimore won outright by 14.
The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third year in a row on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has set its sights on Redskins vs. Vikings. We can tell you it's leaning over, but it also says one side of the spread cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
The model knows Cousins has been an integral part of the Vikings' three-game winning streak. He threw for 337 yards and four touchdowns in a 42-30 victory against the Lions on Sunday and has thrown for 976 yards and 10 TDs during the streak. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs had seven catches for 142 yards, while running back Dalvin Cook rushed 142 yards and two touchdowns for the Vikings, who average 391 yards and 27.4 points per game.
The Redskins are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games following a straight-up loss and they dropped an ugly 9-0 game to San Francisco last Sunday. They will have to contend with a defense that allows only 17.6 points per game. Linebacker Eric Kendricks is its anchor, leading the team with 61 tackles, and defensive ends Danielle Hunter (seven sacks) and Everson Griffen (four) provide the pressure.
But just because Minnesota is on a roll doesn't mean it will cover the Vikings vs. Redskins spread on Thursday Night Football.
Keenum has passed for 1,213 yards and nine touchdowns, completing 66.3 percent of his passes this season. He doesn't have much help since injuries have decimated the offense. Veteran Adrian Peterson has become the featured back, and reports say he's expected to play despite suffering an ankle injury in a 9-0 loss to San Francisco on Sunday. The 34-year-old has run for a total of 199 yards on 43 carries the past two games.
Rookie receiver Terry McLaurin, a third-round pick, has been a bright spot on offense, with 24 receptions for 419 yards and five touchdowns. Paul Richardson, with 20 catches for 163 yards and three TDs and Trey Quinn (22-165-1) are the other top receivers. Veteran tight end Vernon Davis (10-123-1) could return from a concussion this week.
So who wins Redskins vs. Vikings on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread can you bank on in nearly 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Redskins vs. Vikings spread you should be all over on Thursday, all from the model that has returned over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks.
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October 23, 2019 at 12:03PM
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Vikings vs. Redskins odds, line: Thursday Night Football picks, predictions from proven model on 86-60 run - CBS Sports
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