The big story line for Sunday night's Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams matchup is two presumed young franchise quarterbacks struggling mightily and their teams struggling along with them. Chicago won the NFC North last year behind the league's best defense and the dynamic playmaking ability of quarterback Mitchell Trubisky. However, Trubisky has regressed in his third season, throwing for just 1,390 yards and eight touchdowns this year. The Rams' Jared Goff has already gotten a huge contract extension, but he also has taken a step back from last year when he led the Rams to the Super Bowl. Goff has been held without a touchdown pass in two of his last four outings, and he's thrown multiple interceptions three times already this season. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET from the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Los Angeles is a six-point favorite in the latest Bears vs. Rams odds, while the over-under for total points is 39.5. Before making any Rams vs. Bears picks of your own, be sure to check out the Sunday Night Football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 11 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 29-18 run that dates back to last season.
It's also on an incredible 91-61 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season, Last season, the model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third year in a row on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who has followed it is way up and consistently beaten NFL odds.
Now, it's simulated Rams vs. Bears on Sunday Night Football 10,000 times. We can tell you it's leaning under the total, but it also says one side of the spread cashes in over 50 percent of simulations. You can see that pick by visiting SportsLine now.
The model knows that the Rams have covered the spread in their past four games following an against the spread loss. Los Angeles was favored last week against Pittsburgh, but the offense failed to show up and the Rams suffered a disappointing 17-12 defeat to the Steelers.
On the bright side, Los Angeles' defense played very well in two-time Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald's return to his hometown of Pittsburgh. Los Angeles' defense forced two turnovers, scored the Rams' only touchdown, and Donald and Clay Matthews combined for a safety of Steelers QB Mason Rudolph. The Rams feature a ferocious rush defense that's giving up just 90.8 yards per game on the ground, the fifth-best mark in the NFL. Plus, Los Angeles is 6-2 against the spread in its last eight games after scoring fewer than 15 points in its previous contest.
But just because Los Angeles is at home on Sunday Night Football doesn't mean it will cover the Rams vs. Bears spread.
The Bears might have gotten some confidence back by ending a four-game losing skid last Sunday with a 20-13 win over the visiting Detroit Lions. Trubisky badly needed a confidence boost and had his highest-rated game of the season in completing 16-of-23 pass attempts for 173 yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions. Coach Matt Nagy had Trubisky on the move more than he had in previous games.
In addition, Chicago has been a good November team under Nagy, covering five of its past six. Last season on Sunday Night Football at Soldier Field, Chicago shutdown Los Angeles' offense in a 15-6 victory. The Bears intercepted four of Goff's passes, sacked him three times and held L.A. to 214 yards, 14 first downs and just three third-down conversions. Plus, the Bears are 6-1 against the spread in their past seven prime-time games.
Who wins Bears vs. Rams on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears vs. Rams spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced computer model on a 91-61 run on top-rated NFL picks.
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November 17, 2019 at 12:22PM
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Bears vs. Rams odds, line: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from proven model on 91-61 roll - CBS Sports
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