The New England Patriots will look to secure their 10th win of the season when they take on the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday at Gillette Stadium. The Cowboys (6-4) are 3-2 on the road this season, while the Patriots (9-1) are 4-0 on their home field. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET, and the Patriots are 3-0 against NFC East teams this season. New England is a 6.5-point favorite in the latest Cowboys vs. Patriots odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 45.5. Before making any Patriots vs. Cowboys picks of your own, see the latest NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 12 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 30-20 run that dates back to last season. It's also on an incredible 92-63 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season, The model has also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up and consistently beaten NFL odds.
Now, the model has set its sights on Cowboys vs. Patriots. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it's also generated a strong against the spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60 percent of simulations. Head to SportsLine to see it. Now, here are the betting lines and trends for Patriots vs. Cowboys:
- Cowboys vs. Patriots spread: Patriots -6.5
- Cowboys vs. Patriots over-under: 45.5 points
- Cowboys vs. Patriots money line: Cowboys +230, Patriots -300
- DAL: 1-1 against AFC East teams
- NE: Outscored opponents 287-108
The model knows New England has a plus-179 point differential through the first 10 games of the season, the sixth largest point differential in the league through the first 10 games since 1966. Since the NFL moved to a 16-game schedule, only seven teams have allowed fewer than 200 points in a season.
Quarterback Tom Brady leads New England's offense, completing 256-of-402 passes for 2,752 yards and 14 touchdowns. Brady's best game was a Week 5 win over the Washington Redskins when he completed 28-of-42 passes for 348 yards and three touchdowns. The Patriots are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games in November.
But just because New England is perfect at home does not guarantee it will cover the Patriots vs. Cowboys spread on Sunday.
That's because Dallas has won three of its last four games and taking aim at a fourth straight winning season and fifth out of the past six years. The Cowboys are also 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games in November. Quarterback Dak Prescott has been prolific this season, completing 247-of-365 passes for 3,221 yards, an average of 322.1 per game, with 21 touchdowns and a 104.1 passer rating.
So who wins Cowboys vs. Patriots? And which side of the spread can you bank on in nearly 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cowboys vs. Patriots spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
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November 22, 2019 at 07:33AM
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Cowboys vs. Patriots odds, line, spread: 2019 NFL picks, predictions from model on 92-63 roll - CBS Sports
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