An incredibly busy and difficult stretch of games begins for the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football when they host the Minnesota Vikings in what could be a preview of an NFC playoff game with both currently in the postseason field. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Cowboys play on Thanksgiving every year so their schedule in November is always cramped. Dallas' matchup against the Vikings begins a stretch of four games in 18 days, with trips to Detroit and New England to follow and then the annual Turkey Day game at home against Buffalo. Only the Lions are below .500 among that group and this stretch of games may determine the Cowboys' postseason fate. Dallas has failed to cover its past four meetings with Minnesota but is a three-point favorite in the latest Vikings vs. Cowboys odds, while the over-under for total points is 48. Before making any Cowboys vs. Vikings picks of your own, be sure to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 10 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 28-17 run that dates back to last season. It's on an incredible 90-60 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season, consistently beating NFL spreads. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third year in a row on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now the model has dialed in on Vikings vs. Cowboys. We can tell you it's leaning under, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see that one at SportsLine.
The model knows that the Cowboys have lost only a handful of games when Ezekiel Elliott rushes for at least 100 yards. On Monday, the Cowboys were 37-18 winners against the New York Giants and Elliott finished with 139 yards rushing on 23 carries. Dallas is 4-1 when Elliott hits triple digits on the ground this season.
It if comes down to a long field goal to win the Cowboys are in good shape as Brett Maher has made four kicks of at least 50 yards this season and two of at least 60 – including a long of 63, one shy of the NFL record. Maher had plenty of distance on that 63-yard field goal and it likely would have been good from almost 70. Plus, Dallas will look to cover its sixth straight November game on Sunday night.
But just because Dallas is favored by a field goal on Sunday doesn't mean it will cover the Cowboys vs. Vikings spread.
The Vikings and Cowboys don't play every season, but Minnesota has had the upper hand of late in the series, winning seven of the past 10 and covering the spread in all but one of those. This will be the first game against the Cowboys, however, for starting quarterback Kirk Cousins with the Vikings. He played them seven times while with the Washington Redskins.
While Cousins is just 1-6 in his career vs. Dallas, he's playing the best football of his career right now. Cousins has an NFL-best passer rating of 127.1 in the past five games, in which the Vikings are 4-1. He ranks second in the NFL with 1,482 yards and 10 touchdowns and fourth with a completion percentage of 78.4 in that five-game span.
So who wins Vikings vs. Cowboys on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Vikings vs. Cowboys spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
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November 10, 2019 at 11:49AM
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Cowboys vs. Vikings odds, line: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from advanced model on 90-60 roll - CBS Sports
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