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Tuesday, November 5, 2019

NFL odds, picks, lines, spreads for Week 10: Advanced computer model reveals best predictions - CBS Sports

The Week 10 NFL odds are out, and three have double-digit spreads: Dolphins vs. Colts (-10.5), Ravens vs. Bengals (+10) and Falcons vs. Saints (-12.5). Should you back the Colts, Ravens, or Saints to cover one of the largest NFL spreads of the week, or should you look elsewhere when making your NFL picks? Every other line on the Week 10 NFL schedule comes down to a touchdown or less, with Lions vs. Bears (-2.5) and Giants vs. Jets (+2.5) among the games Vegas expects to come down to the wire. With nine weeks' worth of data and NFL betting trends to analyze, there are several exploitable NFL odds bettors can take advantage of. But before locking in your own NFL picks for this week and beyond, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine. 

This model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It enters Week 9 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a 25-17 run on top-rated NFL picks and an incredible 87-60 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, it has examined the latest Week 10 NFL odds and lines, simulated every snap, and its Week 10 NFL predictions are in. Here are three of the games it's most confident in this week:

Saints vs. Falcons (+12.5, 51): One of he model's strongest Week 10 NFL picks comes in the NFC South battle with the largest spread to the week. In fact, the model says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. Both teams are coming off a bye, and the Week 10 NFL injury report will be a factor as bettors keep a close eye on Matt Ryan (ankle) and Alvin Kamara (ankle). The Saints are 6-2 against the spread, while the Falcons are 2-6, but in the six games New Orleans has covered, five of them have had NFL lines of five points or fewer.

Cardinals vs. Buccaneers (-4.5, 52): Despite their 3-5 straight-up record on the year, Kyler Murray and company have been strong against the spread with a 6-3 mark. This is a tough matchup, however, because Arizona is just 29th in the NFL against the pass (280.7 yards per game), while Jameis Winston and the Bucs rank seventh in the league in passing offense (277.4). The model likes one side of this matchup well over 50 percent of the time as Bruce Arians faces his former team for the first time. 

Chiefs vs. Titans (+3.5, 49): This line could swing with more updates on Patrick Mahomes (knee), but with early signs pointing to the league MVP returning, Kansas City is laying 3.5 points on the road. Ryan Tannehill is 2-1 straight-up as the starter for Tennessee, but the Titans are just 3-5-1 against the spread overall this season. The model says one side hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. It's also backing the under (49), which has hit in six of Tennessee's last eight games against AFC opponents.

The model also has made the call against the spread, on the over-under, and on the money line for every other game on the Week 10 NFL schedule. It's also projecting a Super Bowl contender to go down hard, so you need to see its NFL picks before locking in any of your own. 

Who should you back against the spread, on the money line and the total in every Week 10 NFL game? And which Super Bowl contender goes down? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see their Week 10 NFL cheat sheet, all from the model that is up almost $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks.

NFL Week 10 odds

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"line" - Google News
November 05, 2019 at 06:14AM
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NFL odds, picks, lines, spreads for Week 10: Advanced computer model reveals best predictions - CBS Sports
"line" - Google News
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