It's a matchup of the last two Super Bowl champions when the New England Patriots head to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles on Sunday afternoon. The teams last met in Super Bowl LII, with the Eagles coming away with a 41-33 victory. Both teams are coming off bye weeks and the Patriots are looking to bounce back after their first loss of the season, a 37-20 setback to the Ravens. The Eagles have won two in a row after defeating the Bears 22-14, and the defense looks to be settling in after a rough start. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET from Lincoln Financial Field. New England is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Patriots vs. Eagles odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 45. Before you lock in any Patriots vs. Eagles picks, you need to see the latest NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 11 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 29-18 run that dates back to last season. It's also on an incredible 91-61 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
Last season, the model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third year in a row on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it's simulated Patriots vs. Eagles 10,000 times. We can tell you it's leaning under, and it says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. Visit SportsLine now to get the pick.
The model knows that despite the loss, the Patriots still boast the No. 1 scoring defense and the No. 2 scoring offense in the NFL. The Patriots are 37-15-1 against the spread in their last 53 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. New England still is giving up just 10.9 points per game and has forced a league-high 27 takeaways and generated 32 sacks. Linebacker Jamie Collins has six sacks and three interceptions, while safety Devin McCourty has intercepted five passes and recovered a fumble.
The Patriots are 46-20 against the spread in their last 66 games overall and Tom Brady can put up points no matter the supporting cast or competition. He has thrown for 2,536 yards and 14 touchdowns this season and his most reliable receiver has been veteran Julian Edelman, who has 63 catches for 663 yards and four scores.
But just because New England has Brady and an elite defense doesn't mean it will cover the Eagles vs. Patriots spread on Sunday.
That's because the Eagles are 6-1 against the spread against teams with a winning record and the defense is eighth in the league in allowing 326.3 yards per game and just 87.3 on the ground (fourth). Defensive end Brandon Graham has six sacks over the past five weeks, and tackle Fletcher Cox and linebacker Nigel Bradham solidify the unit up the middle.
Carson Wentz runs an offense that scores 24.9 points per game and he has thrown for 2,060 yards and 15 touchdowns. Pro Bowl tight end Zach Ertz has 46 catches for 527 yards and two touchdowns.
So who wins Patriots vs. Eagles? And which side of the spread can you bank on in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Patriots vs. Eagles spread you should be all over on Sunday, all from the model that has returned over $7,000 on its top-rated picks.
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November 15, 2019 at 07:18AM
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Patriots vs. Eagles odds, line, spread: 2019 NFL picks, predictions from model on 91-61 run - CBS Sports
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