The New England Patriots can clinch a spot in the NFL playoffs with a victory over the Houston Texans on Sunday Night Football. The Patriots (10-1) clinch if they defeat Houston and get a loss or tie by Pittsburgh or Oakland. They currently share the best record in the NFL with San Francisco. Meanwhile, the Texans (7-4) are in a three-way dogfight with Indianapolis and Tennessee (both 6-5) atop the AFC South standings. They are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games and 1-4 against the number in their last five against AFC teams. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. New England is a three-point favorite in the latest Patriots vs. Texans odds, and the over-under for total points scored is 46. Before you make any Texans vs. Patriots picks, see the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 13 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 31-20 run that dates back to last season. It's also on an incredible 93-63 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Texans vs. Patriots. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it's also generated an against the spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see it. Now, here are the betting lines and trends for Texans vs. Patriots:
- Patriots vs. Texans spread: New England -3
- Patriots vs. Texans over-under: 46 points
- Patriots vs. Texans money line: New England -170, Houston +155
- NE: Cornerback Stephon Gilmore has not allowed a catch in back-to-back games
- HOU: Receiver DeAndre Hopkins is No. 2 in the NFL in receptions (81)
The model knows that Patriots quarterback Tom Brady has a history of success against Houston. In fact, the future Hall of Fame quarterback is 9-1 in his career against the Texans. He has averaged 284.2 passing yards a game against Houston and has thrown 25 touchdowns against just seven interceptions. He is completing 64.4 percent of his passes against the Texans.
The model also has taken into account that Houston has struggled getting pressure on quarterbacks. With J.J. Watt (pectoral) out for the year, the Texans have just 22 sacks, the fourth fewest in the league. They have fewer than two sacks in five of the last six games.
Even so, New England, a team getting 7-2 Super Bowl odds in the latest NFL futures, isn't guaranteed to cover the Texans vs. Patriots spread on Sunday Night Football.
Houston has one of the top rushing offenses in the NFL. The Texans are averaging 136.9 rushing yards per game this season, which ranks sixth in the league. Thanks to the strong run game, they are averaging 381.6 total yards per game, which is seventh in the NFL.
In addition, Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson thrives in primetime games. In seven night games in his career, he has 18 touchdown passes and just three interceptions. Houston is 5-2 in those games.
So who wins Patriots vs. Texans on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Texans spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks.
"line" - Google News
November 30, 2019 at 06:26AM
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Patriots vs. Texans odds, line: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from model on 93-63 run - CBS Sports
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