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Monday, November 4, 2019

Toledo vs. Kent State odds, line: 2019 college football picks, predictions from model on 105-69 run - CBS Sports

It's an in-state MACtion battle when the Kent State Golden Flashes visit the Glass Bowl to face the Toledo Rockets on Tuesday. The Rockets have a balanced offense featuring a top-tier running back, and they've had extra rest after their last game on Oct. 26, a 37-34 overtime victory against Eastern Michigan that improved their record to 5-3. Kent State has had one winning season in the past 19 years, but is making progress under second-year coach Sean Lewis. The Golden Flashes sit at 3-6 after a 23-16 loss to Miami (Ohio) last week. Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Rockets are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Toledo vs. Kent State odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 60. Before considering any Kent State vs. Toledo picks of your own, be sure to see the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen huge returns. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $4,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. The model enters Week 11 of the 2019 season on a strong run, going 105-69 on all its top-rated college football picks this season. Anybody who has been following it is way up.

Now, it has analyzed Toledo vs. Kent State. We can tell you it's leaning under, but it also says one side of the spread cashes in almost 70 percent of simulations. That one is only available at SportsLine.

The model knows the Rockets are 4-0 against the spread in their last four home games against teams with a losing road record like Kent State. Running back Bryant Koback should be able to take advantage of a Golden Flashes run defense that allows a head-turning 250.6 yards per game (128th in FBS). Koback is 11th in the nation with 985 yards and eight touchdowns on the ground. With quarterbacks Mitchell Guadagni and Carter Bradley injured, that duty is likely to fall to Eli Peters, who completed nine passes for 138 yards against EMU.

The Rockets' secondary can make plays, with senior safety Kahlil Robinson posting three interceptions and junior cornerback Samuel Womack leading the nation with 14 pass breakups and he has two picks. The safeties provide the hits, with senior Dedarallo Blue posting 51 tackles. Sophomore Saeed Holt has 52 with 3.5 sacks and a forced fumble. Linebacker Jordan Fisher leads the team with 57 tackles and has an interception.

But just because the the Rockets look better on paper doesn't mean they will cover the Toledo vs. Kent State spread in Tuesday's MACtion.

The Golden Flashes are 4-1 against the spread in their last five conference games and have a dual-threat quarterback in Dustin Crum. He has passed for 1,345 yards and 10 TDs and doesn't make many mistakes, throwing just one interception. He also leads the team with 374 rushing yards. He has four receivers with at least 20 receptions.

While the defense is a work in progress, it has talented veteran leaders who can make a difference. Junior linebacker Mandela Lawrence-Burke is second on the team with 50 tackles, and he also has two sacks. Senior defensive tackle Theo Majette had four sacks, and senior cornerback Jamal Parker has two interceptions and has knocked down seven passes.

So who wins Kent State vs. Toledo? And which side of the spread is hitting almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Kent State vs. Toledo spread to back on Tuesday, all from the advanced model that on a 105-69 run on top-rated college football picks.

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November 04, 2019 at 09:56AM
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Toledo vs. Kent State odds, line: 2019 college football picks, predictions from model on 105-69 run - CBS Sports
"line" - Google News
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