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Sunday, January 12, 2020

NFL Playoffs 2020: Texans vs. Chiefs odds, line, picks, bracket predictions from top expert who's 18-7 - CBS Sports

Two of the top quarterbacks in football collide on Sunday as the Houston Texans meet the Kansas City Chiefs in the divisional round of the 2020 NFL Playoffs. Kickoff comes at 3:05 p.m. ET and the winner faces the sixth-seeded Tennessee Titans. Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the reigning league MVP and would likely be in contention for the award again if a knee injury hadn't shortened his season by two games.

Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson is considered a serious contender for the award this season. He led the Texans (11-6) back from a two-touchdown deficit to beat the Chiefs, 31-24, in Week 6. He threw for a score and ran for two others, while Mahomes also threw for three touchdowns for the AFC West champion Chiefs (12-4) in the first meeting. Kansas City is a 9.5-point favorite after the line opened at 7.5, while the over-under is 51.5 in the latest Texans vs. Chiefs odds. Before making any Chiefs vs. Texans picks, check out the NFL predictions from SportsLine expert Mike Tierney

The veteran sportswriter, whose work has appeared in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, has covered football of all levels for decades. He has been SportsLine's most profitable NFL handicapper this season, posting a record of 61-32 on his NFL picks and yielding a return of nearly $2,600 for his followers.

What's more, Tierney has had a sharp eye for the trajectories of these clubs, posting a record of 18-7 on spread picks involving the Texans or Chiefs over the past two seasons.

Just last week, Tierney told SportsLine members that Houston (-2.5) would get past Buffalo in the wild-card round because of its edge in playmakers. He was proven correct, as quarterback Deshaun Watson made a dazzling play to avoid a sack in overtime and set up the game-winning field goal. Anyone who has followed Tierney is way up.

Now, he has locked in on Texans vs. Chiefs from every angle and released another confident point-spread selection. You can go to SportsLine to see it. Here are several NFL betting lines for Chiefs vs. Texans in the divisional round of the NFL Playoffs 2020:

  • Texans vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -9.5
  • Texans vs. Chiefs over-under: 51.5 points
  • Texans vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -450, Houston +350
  • HOU: Texans have covered five of their last seven games as a road underdog.
  • KC: Chiefs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.

Why the Chiefs can cover

Tierney knows the Chiefs have one of the most explosive passing offenses in the league and should be able to exploit a Houston defense that struggles against aerial attacks. The Texans ranked No. 29 in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (266.4) and No. 27 in passing touchdowns yielded with 33. 

Kansas City boasts perhaps the most explosive wide receiver in the league in Tyreek Hill, who averages 14.8 yards per catch and has seven receiving touchdowns. Travis Kelce is widely considered the top tight end in the game and has a team-high 97 catches for 1,229 yards and five scores. The Chiefs have nine players with at least 12 receptions this season. 

Why the Texans can cover

Still, Kansas City is far from assured of covering the Texans vs. Chiefs spread in the AFC playoff bracket against a Houston club that will be looking to reach the AFC title game for the first time in franchise history. In their Week 6 upset of Kansas City, the Texans used a run-based offense to eat the clock and limit possessions for the Chiefs' powerful offense. Houston had a two-to-one edge in time of possession and both clubs were limited to just 10 total drives. The Texans also used a nine-play drive to run the last five minutes off the clock in the fourth quarter after forcing the Chiefs to punt. 

Carlos Hyde anchored a Houston rushing attack that piled up 192 yards, while the Chiefs were held to 52 yards on the ground. Hyde rushed 26 times for a season-high 116 yards and a touchdown. It was a memorable performance for Hyde, who signed with Kansas City in the off-season but was traded to Houston in the preseason.

How to make Texans vs. Chiefs picks

We can tell you Tierney is leaning under on the total, but he also says a critical x-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back. He's sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.

Who wins Texans vs. Chiefs in the NFL Playoffs 2020? And what critical x-factor makes one side a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Texans spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the expert who's 18-7 on picks involving these teams.

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January 12, 2020 at 06:07AM
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NFL Playoffs 2020: Texans vs. Chiefs odds, line, picks, bracket predictions from top expert who's 18-7 - CBS Sports
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