The last time the San Francisco 49ers reached the Super Bowl, they suffered their first loss in the big game. They will look to get back to their winning ways and capture a sixth title when they take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the 2020 Super Bowl on Sunday. Kickoff comes at 6:30 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.
It's the first Super Bowl appearance for the 49ers (15-3) since they dropped Super Bowl XLVII 34-31 to the Ravens in 2013. The Chiefs (14-4) haven't played in a Super Bowl since their 23-7 victory over the Minnesota Vikings in Super Bowl IV in 1970. Kansas City is a 1.5-point favorite, up a half-point from the opener, while the over-under is 54.5 in the latest 49ers vs. Chiefs odds for Super Bowl LIV. Before making your Super Bowl LIV picks, be sure to see the 2020 Super Bowl predictions from Tom Fornelli.
The CBS Sports national writer has been a consistent winner for SportsLine members in all sports. He went a wallet-fattening 31-21 this season on his NFL best bets. What's more, he has demonstrated a particularly sharp eye for the trajectory of the 49ers. In fact, Fornelli is a stunning 12-3 all-time on his NFL picks involving San Francisco, and anybody who has been following him is way up.
Now, Fornelli has zeroed in on 49ers vs. Chiefs in Super Bowl LIV from every angle and released another confident against-the-spread pick. You can head here to see it. Here are the NFL lines and trends for 49ers vs. Chiefs in the 2020 Super Bowl:
- 49ers vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -1.5
- 49ers vs. Chiefs over-under total: 54.5 points
- 49ers vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -115, San Francisco +105
- KC: Chiefs are 6-0-1 against the spread in their last seven games as a favorite.
- SF: 49ers are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog.
Why the Chiefs can cover
Although Mahomes and the offense understandably dominate headlines when it comes to the Chiefs, their improvement on the defensive side shouldn't be taken for granted. This is particularly true of a run defense that was a major factor against the Titans in the AFC Championship Game. Late-season acquisitions like nose tackle Mike Pennel and linebacker Terrell Suggs have made a major impact in run support.
The Chiefs didn't have to bring extra defenders in order to limit the effectiveness of NFL rushing leader Derrick Henry. Instead, they were able to stop him at the line of scrimmage and repeatedly put the Titans in long down-and-distance situations, especially in the second half. The Titans were held to fewer than 100 rushing yards for the first time since Week 8, and Henry's 69 yards were his fewest since Week 10.
Why the 49ers can cover
Even so, Kansas City is far from assured of covering the Chiefs vs. 49ers spread in Super Bowl 54 against a San Francisco club that has been just as dominant on the other side of the ball. The 49ers rolled to a 37-20 win in the NFC Championship Game over the Green Bay Packers in a contest that looked remarkably similar to their 37-8 victory over the same opponent in Week 12 of the regular season.
San Francisco used a powerful running game and shutdown defense to build a 27-0 halftime lead. The Packers saw four of their six first-half possessions end in punts, while the other two resulted in turnovers that led to quick San Francisco touchdowns. The defense sacked Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers three times and intercepted him twice.
The Niners hammered their way with a run game that Green Bay was powerless to stop. Running back Raheem Mostert carried 29 times for 220 yards and four touchdowns to lead a ground game that ended up with 285 total yards.
How to make Chiefs vs. 49ers picks
Fornelli is leaning under on the total, and he's also discovered a crucial x-factor that makes one side of the spread a must-back. He's sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.
Who wins Chiefs vs. 49ers in the Super Bowl 2020? And what critical factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the 49ers vs. Chiefs spread you should be all over in Super Bowl LIV, all from the expert who's 12-3 on picks involving San Francisco, and find out.
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January 29, 2020 at 10:05AM
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49ers vs. Chiefs odds, line: Super Bowl 2020 picks, predictions from proven expert who's 12-3 on Niners games - CBS Sports
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